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Small-cap stocks can shine in a recession

Nov 23, 2023

Redacción Mapfre

Redacción Mapfre

Jonathan Boyar, director of Boyar Value Group and advisor to the MAPFRE AM US Forgotten Value Fund From a valuation standpoint, small-cap value shares are far and away the cheapest U.S. stocks. While large-cap growth shares (led by the Magnificent Seven group of tech stocks) are trading 36% above their 20-year average price/earnings multiple, JP Morgan reports that small-cap value is selling 14% below its 20-year average. The Russell 2000, a basket of smaller-cap companies, has been in a bear market since peaking in late 2021. It has since trailed the Russell 1000, which indexes larger-cap stocks, by about 20 full percentage points.

Many factors could help explain the short-term underperformance of small-cap shares, including rising interest rates, History suggests that leadership of the stock market could soon pass from large-caps to small-caps—especially if an economic slowdown lies ahead.

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Weak growth, deficit and the risk of inflation: where is the United Kingdom headed?

Weak growth, deficit and the risk of inflation: where is the United Kingdom headed?

The British government is facing a difficult decision. It is being forced to face a large fiscal deficit, while its economy shows signs of high inflation and weak growth. This is the backdrop for the presentation of its upcoming budget, which will have to involve some "unpopular measures" if it wants to control the deficit, explains Alberto Matellán, General Manager at La Financière Responsable, who sees similarities with other European countries, such as France.

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