Despite an international context marked by geopolitical conflicts, which have worsened this week with the escalation between Israel and Iran, financial markets have maintained a positive trend in recent months.
Results for: Markets research
The Fed keeps rates steady but lowers U.S. growth forecast
The United States Federal Reserve (the Fed) once again kept the benchmark interest rates in the 4.25%-4.50% range for the fourth consecutive time.
How could the conflict between Israel and Iran affect stock markets?
The conflict between Israel and Iran has rekindled geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and financial markets are already beginning to anticipate the possible consequences. One area of concern is the potential impact on oil prices, which play a key role in inflation and, therefore, in the monetary policy decisions taken by central banks.
Markets losing faith in Trump's empty promises
The short-term dynamics and fading impact of Mr. Trump’s announcements have restored some of the market optimism that was lost in April. Equity market volatility remains below its historical average, but uncertainty persists.
ECB cuts rates for the eighth time, closing in on the limit of its ability to take action
The ECB announced its eighth rate cut this week. Looking ahead, the scope for action is beginning to be limited.
Will poor business activity data translate into lower economic growth?
This week, composite PMI data was released for the Eurozone, offering an indicator of companies' outlook and confidence, raising concerns as the figures point to a slowdown in private sector activity. This publication “shows some weakness,” but is not a cause for concern as it is consistent with the general economic context, according to Alberto Matellán, General Manager of La Financière Responsable, an ESG investment subsidiary of MAPFRE.
Trump’s tariff rhetoric loses momentum amid a more skeptical market
Alberto Matellán, General Manager of La Financière Responsable, explains that the market consensus now treats tariffs as part of the usual “tug of war” in negotiations, and generally expects that the worst-case scenarios will not materialize. In contrast, U.S. debt and its sustainability have become “one of the most significant concerns” for investors, serving as “a clearer indicator” of investor sentiment.
Fragile growth and emerging threats: the Eurozone’s economic outlook for 2025
Uncertainty still clouds the horizon as the Eurozone heads into the second half of the year, showing only tentative signs of recovery.
“The combination of inflation and a fall in confidence in the US is worrying; it can curb investment”
The General Manager of La Financière Responsable, Alberto Matellán, sees signs of alarm in the US economy, which go beyond the tariff war and have been demonstrated in recent events such as the rise in the price of US bonds or the downgrading of its rating by Moody's. Specifically, he points to higher inflation and a decrease in consumer and business confidence, a combination that curbs investment.